Service Plays Wednesday 08/05/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 5

NATIONAL LEAGUE


Colorado (59-47) at Philadelphia (59-45)

A battle of southpaws is on tap at Citizens Bank Park, as the Rockies’ Jorge De La Rosa (9-7, 4.68 ERA) is scheduled to match up against J.A. Happ (7-2, 2.97) and the Phillies in the middle game of a three-game series.

The Rockies pounded out an 8-3 victory on Tuesday and they’ve now won five in a row – all by multiple runs – after starting their road trip with three straight losses to the Mets by the combined score of 18-3. Colorado, which leads the N.L. Wild-Card race, is on surges of 39-15 overall, 21-8 on the road and 15-6 against teams with a winning record. However, the Rockies have dropped four of six to lefty starters.

Philadelphia has lost three in a row and five of its last six. Still, the defending champs are on positive streaks of 20-8 overall, 14-4 at home, 6-0 in the second game of a series, 6-2 versus left-handed starters and 15-6 when facing lefties at home. On the downside, the Phillies are 1-5 in their last six against the N.L. West and 1-5 in their last six on Wednesday.

The Rockies’ victory Tuesday was a rare one, as the Phillies had taken seven of the previous eight series clashes dating to the start of last season.

Colorado has won seven straight games behind De La Rosa overall and four straight on the road, and the lefty has delivered a quality start in his last six trips to the mound, posting a sensational 2.20 ERA during this stretch. On Thursday at the Mets, De La Rosa gave up two runs in 6 1/3 innings of a 4-2 victory, improving to 4-2 with a 3.76 ERA in nine road starts (2-0, 2.92 ERA last two on the road).

Happ is coming off consecutive defeats to the Cardinals (8-1 at home) and DBacks (4-0 on the road), giving up a combined seven runs on 13 hits in 12 innings. Those were his first two losses of the season and his first defeats since losing his major-league debut on June 30, 2007. Including the five-run, six-inning blowout against St. Louis, Happ is 3-1 with a 4.47 ERA in 13 appearances (six starts) at Citizens Bank this year.

De La Rosa has faced the Phillies five times (three starts) and is 0-2 with an 8.79 ERA, including an 8-4 home loss on April 11 when he gave up five runs in 4 2/3 innings. Meanwhile, Happ’s history against Colorado is limited to one relief appearance, and he pitched 2 1/3 scoreless innings.

The over is 3-1 in De La Rosa’s last four starts overall and 3-0 in his three career starts against Philadelphia. However, with Happ on the hill, the Phillies are on “under” runs of 13-3-1 overall (6-0 last six) and 7-2 at home (3-0 last three).

These clubs have been involved in shootouts lately, as the “over” is 8-1 in the last nine head-to-head meetings overall and 11-4-1 in the last 16 clashes in Philadelphia (playoffs included). The “over” is also 5-1 in the Phillies’ last five at home.

ATS ADVANTAGE: PHILADELPHIA and OVER


AMERICAN LEAGUE


Boston (62-43) at Tampa Bay (59-48)


The Red Sox and Rays conclude a brief two-game series at Tropicana Field, with Boston sending veteran Brad Penny (7-5, 5.07 ERA) to the hill opposite Tampa Bay phenom David Price (4-4, 5.10).

In Tuesday’s series opener, slugger Evan Longoria blasted a two-run homer – his second of the game – with two outs in the bottom 13th inning to lift Tampa Bay to a 4-2 victory. The Rays have followed a 1-3 slump by taking four of their last five (all at home), and they’re on further upticks of 92-38 at Tropicana Field going back to 2008 and 41-15 in the second game of a series.

Not only did Boston have its four-game winning streak halted in brutal fashion last night, but its offense was held down after averaging 8.3 runs in its previous seven games. Still the Red Sox remain on runs of 19-8 against A.L. East rivals, 6-2 on Wednesday and 12-5 in the second game of a series, but they’ve now lost 28 of their last 40 games played on artificial turf.

Tampa Bay holds a 7-4 lead in the season series with Boston, though the teams have alternated wins and losses in the last seven contests. Going back to last September – and including the A.L. Championship Series between the clubs – the Red Sox have lost eight of their last 11 at Tropicana Field, going 1-4 this year.

The Red Sox are 1-5 in Penny’s last six starts, including Wednesday’s 8-6 home loss to the A’s in which the right-hander surrendered seven runs, seven hits and four walks in five innings. Penny is 1-2 with a 7.16 ERA in his last three starts and he’s 2-3 with a 5.51 ERA in nine road outings this season, with the Red Sox going 3-6.

Penny faced the Rays twice in a five-day span in early May, giving up three runs in six innings of a 5-3 road loss, then allowing three runs in 6 1/3 innings of a 7-3 home victory. He’s 2-3 with a 5.06 ERA in six appearances (five starts) versus Tampa Bay.

Price is coming off one of his better outings of the season, as he limited the Royals to a run on five hits over seven innings en route to an 8-2 home victory. Price has given up a single run in each of his last three home starts, going 3-0 with a 1.40 ERA. For the season, he’s 4-1 with a 2.67 ERA in six home starts this year, with Tampa winning five of those contests.

Tonight marks Price’s first career start against the Red Sox. However, the rookie lefty got the final out for Tampa Bay in Game 7 of the ALCS against Boston last year and ended up pitching 2 1/3 hitless innings in that series.

Boston is on “under” runs of 8-2 on the road, 7-2-1 against the A.L. East, 6-2 against left-handed starters, 8-3 with Penny on the mound, 5-2 with Penny working on the road and 4-0 when Penny faces divisional foes. Similarly, Tampa Bay is riding “under” streaks of 39-17-2 overall, 5-1-1 at home, 26-8-2 versus right-handed starters, 5-1 on Wednesday, 12-3 in divisional play and 14-3 against winning teams. Finally, the under is 8-4-1 in the last 13 meetings in this rivalry.


ATS ADVANTAGE: TAMPA BAY and UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

August 5, 2009

Hondo was like a Royal Canadian Mountie last night in Toronto -- he always gets his winner -- as he hit with the Yankees to lower the burden to an even-steven 400 yeagers.

Tonight, he'll run with a couple of 'dogs -- 10 units apiece on the Orioles and Rockies.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Astros(RL)
Blue Jays

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Ferrall

MLB FREE PICKS FOR WEDNESDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


Baltimore (Guthrie)

DETROIT (JACKSON) -190 (1)



CUBS (HARDEN) -165 (2)

Cincinnati (Lehr)



Arizona (Davis)

PITTSBURGH (OHLENDORF) -105 (3)



RUN TOTALS

Detroit / Cleveland OVER 9

Texas / Oakland OVER 8 ½

Angels / White Sox UNDER 10

 

[str8flush95]

Fastball - BestbetsHOU over SFATL over SDCHC over CINLAD over MILDET over BALSEA over KC

 

[Yanks]

Dunkel

Today's MLB Picks

NY Yankees at Toronto

The Yankees look to take advantage of a Toronto team that is just 3-7 in its last 10 games as an underdog. New York is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 5

Game 901-902: St. Louis at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lohse) 15.364; NY Mets (Niese) 16.572
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+120); Over
Game 903-904: San Francisco at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Martinez) 15.251; Houston (Moehler) 15.621
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Houston (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-125); Over
Game 905-906: Atlanta at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hanson) 13.980; San Diego (Gaudin) 14.401
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+135); Over
Game 907-908: Florida at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Vandenhurk) 15.764; Washington (Lannan) 14.880
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Washington (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+120); Over
Game 909-910: Arizona at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Davis) 16.761; Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 12.949
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 4; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-110); Over
Game 911-912: Colorado at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.819; Philadelphia (Happ) 15.565
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-155); Over
Game 913-914: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Harden) 15.898; Cincinnati (Lehr) 12.849
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 3; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-165); Under
Game 915-916: Milwaukee at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Looper) 14.452; LA Dodgers (Schmidt) 16.005
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130); Over
Game 917-918: NY Yankees at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Mitre) 16.145; Toronto (Rzepczynski) 15.489
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-120); Under
Game 919-920: Boston at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Penny) 16.073; Tampa Bay (Price) 15.149
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+120); Under
Game 921-922: Baltimore at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 14.256; Detroit (Jackson) 15.098
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-190); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-190); Over
Game 923-924: Minnesota at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano) 16.291; Cleveland (Laffey) 15.130
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-110); Over
Game 925-926: Seattle at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (French) 14.584; Kansas City (Davies) 13.568
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-120); Over
Game 927-928: LA Angels at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (O'Sullivan) 17.432; White Sox (Floyd) 16.325
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+115); Over
Game 929-930: Texas at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Padilla) 15.007; Oakland (Reinke) 14.204
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+120); Under



WNBA Basketball Picks

Chicago at Indiana

The Fever look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is just 1-5 ATS in its last 6 road games. Indiana is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Fever favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 5

Game 651-652: Chicago at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 105.219; Indiana 120.117
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 15; 153 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 7 1/2; 152
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-7 1/2); Over

 

[mp5070]

Rated Picks

We are rolling this August and just this month we are up over 30 units, and we are getting ready for out NFL Season. If you havent seen us for football (NFL/NCAA) you will be blown away! So here we go as we continue our August winning ways.

MLB:

MLB 08/05 St Louis Cardinals at NY Mets pick: St Louis Cardinals pts: -130 2 units
MLB 08/05 Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres pick: Atlanta Braves pts: -1.5 (+125) 3 units
MLB 08/05 Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres pick: *BP*Atlanta Braves pts: -145 5 units
MLB 08/05 Milwaukee Brewers at LA Dodgers pick: LA Dodgers pts: -140 3 units
MLB 08/05 Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians pick: Minnesota Twins pts: -125 3 units

 

[mp5070]

John Morrison

MLB System 8/5

unofficial [C] bet on REDS

MLB v3 [A] bet on MARLINS

 

[str8flush95]

Fastball - BestbetsHOU over SFATL over SDCHC over CINLAD over MILDET over BALSEA over KC

Fastball - Best Bets

HOU over SF
ATL over SD
CHC over CIN
LAD over MIL
DET over BAL
SEA over KC

 

[Yanks]

Mighty Quinn

Wednesday, August 5th 2009

Deeply profound thoughts, courtesy of GK of the B.E.L. (Bet, Eat and Lose) Club:

"Two men are out just fishing quietly and drinking beer. Almost silently, so as not to scare the fish, Bob says, 'I think I'm gonna divorce my wife. She hasn't spoken to me in over two months.'

"Charles continues slowly sipping his beer, then thoughtfully says, 'You better think it over, Bob. Women like that are hard to find.'"

Mighty hit with the Cardinals and Mariners last night. Today it's the Giants. The surplus is 820 sirignanos.

 

[Yanks]

Charlie

mlb. florida @ washington under 8' runs, atlanta @ san diego under 7 runs & giants @ astros over 9' runs ( 500* 3 team rd robin).
mlb. st. louis-135 (30*)
mlb. dodgers-140 (20*)
mlb. tampa bay-130 (20*)
mlb. twins-125 (10*)

mlb. san diego+135 (10*) Bonus Play

 

[Yanks]

The Sports Investing Professional - Wednesday


Tuesday Recap - If there is anyone colder than me right now....I'd love
to see it. Amazing...I told you all bullpens suck but for Johnson to be so
completely dominant and then that gas packing pen to give up not 1 or 2
but 6 runs in the 8th....there isn't a thing you can do other than play first 5's

Todays Play(s) - I got quite a few emails yesterday and thanks to those
of you who sent the "keep your chin up" type and actually google accidentally
removed the blog yesterday for a few hours and I got several "why
did you quit emails" My personal goal each month is to make 10k. July I made
about 6k...the first 4 days of August have been like getting kicked in the face
with a steel toed Kodiak work boot. ...It happens though. I don't care how good
you are....it happens. By the end of August we should be + nearly $10,000 on here
so I anticipate a good run. Sometimes how you do is just a matter of decision. I liked
3 games yesterday and played the one that lost. That sucks but it will even out
and there will be times when I would have been 1-4 but played my only winner
too. Today, literally the only matchup I like is the Braves over San Diego.
I'm following my money management program. Keep in mind that my base bet is usually only 1-2% of my bankroll so I'm not sweating any of these plays. If you keep your
base wager reasonable you'll be able to properly manager your
money and not be nervous about the plays.


MLB - Atlanta Braves -140[LISTED] Hanson / Gaudin 1190.00 / 850.00


May The Ball Bounce Your Way,

The Sports Investing Professional


Record (24-17) -$521

 

[Yanks]

Free Silver Key Pick for Wednesday ML Baseball


DODGERS SCHMIDT -R -135 Over Milwaukee (10:10 et)

 

[Yanks]

Lance's Lock

Overall record: 824-708-31

Current streak: 5 wins

Todays play: Cardinals -130

 

[mp5070]

WINSPORTSNOW

Wednesday Site Parlay Report
Cubs-175
Under 8.5 Dbacks
Tigers-1.5 runs(+110)

***ROUND ROBIN***

 

[Yanks]

Gina

Wednesday, August 5th, 2009 7:05 p.m. est.

Boston Red Sox (62-43) at Tampa Bay Rays (59-48)

(R) Brad Penny (7-5) vs. (L) David Price (4-4)

The Red Sox have not been successful versus the Rays. Boston has lost seven of the last 10 meetings against Tampa Bay, five of the last six at Tropicana Field and dropped six of veteran right-hander Brad Penny last 8 road starts. Go with the Rays at home. Tampa Bay is 5-1 in rookie left-hander David Price last 6 home starts.

Tampa Bay Rays -135

Wednesday, August 5th, 2009 7:10 p.m. est.

Chicago Cubs (57-48) at Cincinnati Reds (45-61)

(R) Rich Harden (7-6) vs. (R) Justin Lehr (0-0)

Go with the Cubs with Rich Harde on the hill to continue their dominance over the struggling Reds. Chicago has won 10 of their last 13 games overall and have taken the last 6 meetings against Cincinnati, 4-1 in the last 5 in Cincinnati. Cubs' right-hander Rich Harden is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last four starts and 4-0 with a 2.59 ERA in four career outings against Cincinnati. Appallingly, the Reds have lost their last 8 games at Great American Ball Park.

Chicago Cubs -175

 

[Yanks]

Mr. A's

Wednesday, August 5th, 2009, 7:05 PM EST.

Baltimore Orioles (45-61) at Detroit Tigers (55-50)

(R) Jeremy Guthrie (7-10) vs. (R) Edwin Jackson (7-5)

Oddsmakers: Detroit as a -210 home favorite with the total listed at 8½ 'over'.

Detroit Tigers -210


Wednesday, August 5th, 2009, 10:05 PM EST.

Texas Rangers (59-46) at Oakland Athletics (46-60)

(R) Vicente Padilla (8-5) vs. (R) Chad Reineke (0-0)

Oddsmakers: Oakland as a -125 home favorite with the total listed at 8½ 'over'.

Texas Rangers +110

 

[Yanks]

MLB Computer Picks

Arizona Diamondbacks -105

Chicago Cubs -175

Seattle Mariners -120

 

[Yanks]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

MLB Baseball

100* Play Atlanta (-130) over San Diego (MLB TOP PLAY)

San Diego has lost 61 of the last 89 games when playing as an underdog of +125 to +175 and they have also lost 32 of the last 41 games when playing on a Wednesday. Chad Gaudin has lost 9 of the last 12 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he is also 1-5 at home this season with an ERA of 5.71. Tommy Hanson has won 3 of the last 4 day games and he also has an ERA of 2.64 in road games this season.



100* Play Chicago Cubs (-160) over Cincinnati (MLB TOP PLAY)

Cincinnati has lost 14 of the last 15 games and they have also lost 11 of the last 12 games as an underdog of +150 or higher. Cincinnati has lost 15 of the last 20 games when batting .225 of worse over the last 15 games and Justin Lehr has an ERA of 5.40 this season. Rich Harden has won 5 consecutive games when playing in the month of August and he is also 4-1 in road games this season with an ERA of 2.19.



100* Play St. Louis (-125) over NY Mets (MLB TOP PLAY)

St. Louis has won 6 of the last 8 games and they have also won 11 of the last 14 road games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs. St. Louis has won 11 of the last 16 road games as a favorite of -125 or higher and they have also won 10 of the last 16 games when playing on a Wednesday. New York has lost 5 of the last 6 games.



50* Play Philadelphia (-145) over Colorado (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Philadelphia has won 36 of the last 47 home games as a favorite of -125 to -175 and they have also won 20 of the last 30 games when playing in the 2nd half of the season. J.A. Happ has won 4 consecutive games as a home favorite of -150 or higher and he is also 7-2 in all starts this season with an ERA of 2.97. Jorge De La Rosa has lost 12 of the last 15 road games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs and he is also 0-2 vs. Philadelphia over his career with an ERA of 10.80.



WNBA HOOPS

50* Play Indiana (-7.5) over Chicago (WNBA Hoops Play)

Chicago has lost 8 of the last 10 road games against the spread and they have also lost 5 consecutive games vs. Indiana on the road. Chicago has lost 70 of the last 90 games as an underdog and they have also lost 7 of the last 8 games when playing on a Wednesday.